*Expect scattered showers and storms to develop, especially this afternoon
*There's a very low chance that a storm could produce a brief tornado or two this afternoon and evening across mainly southern Arkansas, but the chance is on the low end.
*Heavy rainfall will be likely tonight into early tomorrow morning for areas south and east of Little Rock
*Gusty winds across southern and eastern Arkansas may cause a few power outages.
*A flash flood watch is in effect for those areas south and east of the metro for 2-4'' of rainfall with locally higher amounts.
*Some areas north and west of the metro will see little if any rainfall
*Friday should NOT be a wash-out.
*Rain will taper off from west to east during Friday morning
*We'll receive a break in the rain Friday late morning into the afternoon
*A front will move into Arkansas from the north Friday afternoon and evening
*Scattered showers and storms will redevelop later Friday
*Some could be strong to severe, but the chance is low
*MUCH cooler and drier air begins to arrive this weekend.
The following maps are from the 3KM NAM off of Weatherbell.com. It's simulated radar and it's never perfect, but has a fairly good handle on the situation.
|6PM Thursday. Scattered showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall likely. There's a low chance of a brief and isolated tornado.|
|Midnight Friday morning shows the heavy rain in southern Arkansas.|
|6AM Friday... heavy rainfall over eastern and southern Arkansas.|
|By noon Friday, the heaviest of the rain is crossing over the Mississippi River. The chance for rain will decrease and a break is likely.|
|A new front will run into unstable air by late Friday afternoon into the evening. This is 6PM. Scattered showers and storms could be strong.|
|Flash flood watch east and south of the metro for 2-4'' of rainfall with isolated higher amounts.|
|Slight risk for severe weather southeastern Arkansas later today. The main threat will be strong winds and a brief tornado or two|
|Euro rain totals guidance. Heaviest south and east with little north and west. Notice the strong rainfall total gradient!|